i think can still play. until move 35....black still okay wat..i think still good.
i still feel should move pao 2=4...later can pao 4+1 beat car.
If red still move pao 5=4..black can move pao 7=8.
Feeling wise..i think black formation solid.
note: (pao 2=4 is a variation gotten from 59pao vs ping feng ma....or 7 road horse games. in this situation, much better than 59 pao..coz red pao not aiming black's 1 bing.)