
如果希拉里赢得NH,
如果Trump赢得NH,
背景:NH允许重新点票。重新点票必须人工。 猜测几率: 8号无法选出总统:50% Trump 8号胜出:30%+ 希拉里8号胜出:20%-
该帖荣获当日十大第10,奖励楼主1分以及1华新币,时间:2016-11-09 22:00:03。
这是一个1936年的漫画,右边是罗斯福。
1932年大选时罗斯福说过这样一句话:
"These unhappy times call for the building of plans that rest upon the forgotten, the unorganized but the indispensable units of economic power for plans like those of 1917 that build from the bottom up and not from the top down, that put their faith once more in the forgotten man at the bottom of the economic pyramid."
- Franklin D. Roosevelt, April 7, 1932
当时美国处于史上最严重经济衰退(大萧条,the great depression, 1928-1929)后遗期。
这是Trump今年说的类似的话。
“I have visited the laid-off factory workers, and the communities crushed by our horrible and unfair trade deals. These are the forgotten men and women of our country.”
— Donald Trump, July 21, 2016
从这张图也可以看出社会分化很严重。
共和党极大可能保住众议院,参议院有一争之力。
如民意调查,美国社会严重对立。
http://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll/
还差32票。方框里面的四个州33票。PA(20)和NH(4)也稍微领先。