我知道大家都喜欢把A股形容成赌场，但其实我们如果换一个角度，想想如果是在日股，或者美股，或者德国股市，每三天买卖一次，就不是赌博了么？是，也不是。 赌博靠运气。对赌客来说概率总是那么稍稍小于50%。 久赌自然必输。 counting card会让赌客自己的胜率稍稍大于50%， 赌场自然会把这种“千人”拒之门外。 股市如果靠掷硬币就会必输，因为算上交易费就会形成稍稍损益比小于1的长久回报。但股市不同的地方在于一个人可以设计自己的损益比，也可以统计出自己的胜率。这和赌场从你进入大门那一刻开始就已经为你设计好了所有的损益比和概率是不同的。我想观念会决定一个人的做法。 农民是这个世界最大的赌徒，年头选一种作物耕种，年尾靠天吃饭。没法止损

in william O'neil's book ,he uses 100+ charts to explain and demonstrate how he does the position sizing. in , Livermore explains his sizing operation also in details as follows: Let us suppose, for example, that I am buying some stock. I'll buy two thousand shares at 110. If the stock goes up to 111 after I buy it I am, at least temporarily, right in my operation, because it is a point higher; it shows me a profit. Well, because I am right I go in and buy another two thousand shares. If the market is still rising I buy a third lot of two thousand shares. Say the price goes up to 114. I think it is enough for the time being. I now have a trading basis to work from. I am long six thousand shares at an average of 111.75, and the stock is selling at 114. I won't buy any more just then. I wait and see. I figure that at some stage of the rise there is going to be a reaction. I want to see how the market takes care of itself after that reaction. It will probably react to where I got my third lot. Say that after (more...)

夫妻肺片持币进场算一个信号

夫妻肺片持币进场算一个信号

精准预测下一个，肺片止损就可以再次进场。

谢谢提醒重要标的

指数再次回踩缺口后向上反攻。10月18日，市场再现“疯牛”行情，沪指、创指、科创50等各大指数午后持续暴拉，临近尾盘稍有回落。截至收盘，上证指数涨2.92%，深证成指涨4.71%，创业板指涨7.95%，北证50指数涨10.30%，科创50指数涨11.33%。两市超5100家飘红，全天成交2.08万亿，较昨日放量5925亿。