my chance is 0%no draw for boards 1 & 2, draw for boards 3 & 4, and I win + all my previous 6 opponent win to increase my 小分。
Now here is the contradiction:
draw for boards 3 & 4 = I am expecting Kong Jingwen to draw with Wang Yin
all my previous 6 opponent win to increase my 小分 = I am expecting Kong Jingwen to win to increase my 小分
Therefore my chance is 0% after 2 draws on round 5 & 6.
However my initial target is top 25 in div B. To achieve this, I need 5 points. Now with 4 points, I need to have another win in the remaining 3 rounds. By the way, I am still requesting my "boss" to let me play on round 8 instead of 弃权 as I mentioned 1 month ago. I will definately be playing on round 9.
Your chance is > 0, can do another calculation after the standing table is out