新元对人民币最近还能长些么?
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作者:hoho (等级:2 - 初出茅庐,发帖:74) 发表:2004-06-21 09:33:15  楼主  关注此帖
新元对人民币最近还能长些么?
现在4.81左右吧,4.95的时代一去不复返了么?下月打算想回国看看,现在换钱合适么?据说美联储要加息,中国也要加息,对利率有影响么?
身体是一切的本钱,锻炼锻炼。。。
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作者:hoho (等级:2 - 初出茅庐,发帖:74) 发表:2004-06-22 21:05:19  2楼
Chart speaking all, let's have a look at chart.FA issues, 1. 25 basic point interest raising is already absorbed by market in recent two weeks. Unless our Mr.G claim 50points in 6.30 meeting, US$ cannot get help from interest rate any more. 2. China have to raise rate, but may not in very short term, because all china ppl are suffering negative rate now, which is not healthy for China now. (TLLD, kick those suckers) So, let's assume RMB saving rate won't affect US$ in very short time frame since you go back soon. :P Charts: 1. CBOE $GOLD futures, still in longterm bullish in monthly chart. 2. have a look at $USD chart, daily chart , 88-89 is solid support, and 91 is resistance. IMHO, USD is in temp consolidation area in short term. On Weekly chart, USD cannot break 92 trendline resistance. Long term USD is still in downtrend. Ok, in a word, USD still long term bearish and short term is consolidating for a while. Since RMB is linked to USD, so 20.75-20.8 is reasonable price in short term. long term? well, (more...)
Thank you very much!
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