小新一点一点往上蹭,看不懂了。。哪位大虾能解释一下?难道小新改靠中国这棵大树了?[割吧,都焦了 (9-10 12:12, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]1楼
我觉得这些日子是short player止损或者take profit得最好时机。这种机会来一次少一次。
一家之言。
很多波浪理论的高手都说这是deadly wave C etc,我才疏学浅,不动波浪理论,完全不懂,只看趋势线。
外加资金管理。[speculatist (9-10 12:17, Long long ago)]
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跌不下去了!抢呀![昌昊 (9-10 12:18, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]3楼
希望收到3425之上[forpc (9-10 12:27, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]4楼
(引用 speculatist:我觉得这些日子是short player止损或者take profit得最好时机。这种机会来一次少一次。 一家之言。 很多波浪理论的高手都说这是deadl...)看外面经济环境很差阿,美国日本都是一塌糊涂,小新一反常态,心里十分打鼓阿[割吧,都焦了 (9-10 12:34, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]5楼
(引用 割吧,都焦了:看外面经济环境很差阿,美国日本都是一塌糊涂,小新一反常态,心里十分打鼓阿)来看看经济问题。先看看小新,最近报的小新的数据,都是很好的。可以去www.singstat.gov.sg浏览。
但是小新很依赖出口,所以如果老美出问题,小新也可能遭殃。出口到中国和香港,分量在上升,所以说对中国的依赖在加大。
关于日本,亚洲龙头早就不再了,很久以前亚洲就不跟他走了,他现在自己struggle,犯不着拉其他人下水。
再说,这几年其实日本刚刚宣称经济有起色的,以前更糟,不过别的国家不也是牛市依旧吗?
美国,job cut在意料之中,我还是不懂为什么80%的economist预测11400的增长,只能说,现实再一次印证了:大多数经济学家混饭吃的说法。(这里的经济学家和本版美女斑竹无任何关联!)
看看很多subprime的大公司裁员裁员,这是自然的自救方法。
我觉得,最近不断公布的经济数据是很重要的,唯一一个non-farm job 不说明问题。如果接下来两周所有数据都sucks,那才开始看看怎么样。
另外,关于本周五公布的industrial production, 经济学家们预测0.2%,我预测0.4%,偷偷放这个帖子里,看看如何。
一塌糊涂我觉得远远不算,很多这样那样的talk看看就好,他们有他们的动机或者目的,或者局限性。
这段时期不过去,pair trade就不结束。过了918,应该就明朗些了。[speculatist (9-10 13:16, Long long ago)]
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(引用 speculatist:来看看经济问题。先看看小新,最近报的小新的数据,都是很好的。可以去www.singstat.gov.sg浏览。 但是小新很依赖出口,所以如果老美出...)谢指教![割吧,都焦了 (9-10 13:17, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]7楼
看到个新闻。 太搞笑了。。。。这帮家伙自己做错了,让Fed来买单。真是撒娇都撒的恶心。
Andy Borowitz
Sat Sep 8, 5:50 PM ET
Demanding further intervention from the Federal Reserve to protect their endangered fortunes, thousands of the nation's leading hedge fund managers marched on Washington today.
Dubbed "The Million Mercedes March," the protest was said to be the largest chauffeur-driven demonstration in the capital's history.
Limousines started jamming the streets of Washington at approximately ten in the morning as irate hedge fund owners converged in front of the Federal Reserve building to demand stronger action to protect their imperiled riches.
Chanting "No Rate Cut, No Peace," the furious money managers were pepper-sprayed by police as their protest threatened to take a violent turn.
Tracy Klujian, a hedge fund manager from Greenwich, Connecticut, said that simmering anger in the hedge fund community was "a powder keg" waiting to explode.
"We have yet to see the ripple effects of this crisis," Mr. Klujian said. "When these guys have to freeze their trophy wives' shopping allowances, there's going to be hell to pay."
Mr. Klujian's words seemed almost prophetic as a mob of angry trophy wives looted a Ralph Lauren boutique in East Hampton, New York later in the day, stripping the establishment of its entire fall collection.
If the Fed fails to intervene, Mr. Klujian warned, an ugly situation among the nation's wealthiest money managers will only get uglier.
"A lot of these guys are mad as hell right now," he said. "But wait until they're down to their last billion."[speculatist (9-10 13:28, Long long ago)]
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(引用 speculatist:我觉得这些日子是short player止损或者take profit得最好时机。这种机会来一次少一次。 一家之言。 很多波浪理论的高手都说这是deadl...)ppl talk abt wave c since last Juneppl couting wave to predict mkt never being correct even once.[xiaohu (9-10 13:32, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]9楼
(引用 speculatist:看到个新闻。 太搞笑了。。。。这帮家伙自己做错了,让Fed来买单。真是撒娇都撒的恶心。 Andy Borowitz Sat Sep 8, 5:50 PM ET Deman...)有意思,希望Fed保持利率不变[forpc (9-10 13:32, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]10楼
(引用 speculatist:看到个新闻。 太搞笑了。。。。这帮家伙自己做错了,让Fed来买单。真是撒娇都撒的恶心。 Andy Borowitz Sat Sep 8, 5:50 PM ET Deman...)if I was Ben, I won't compromise to those wall street suckerthe short term cut maybe the biggest step for this situation[xiaohu (9-10 13:34, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]11楼
(引用 xiaohu:ppl talk abt wave c since last Juneppl couting wave to predict mkt never being correct even once.)瞎猫也能碰上个死老鼠吧[forpc (9-10 13:34, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]12楼
(引用 xiaohu:if I was Ben, I won't compromise to those wall street suckerthe short term cut maybe the biggest step for this situation)伯南克不降息,政治前途会受到影响,金融市场的波动会让他压力很大,尽管长期来说不该降。[司马长风 (9-10 13:38, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]13楼
已经走回轨道的牛自然不会轻易回头。接下来几周海指可能会在3440~3520之间晃动。今早我猜测海指会收在3440左右,因为技术上这是轨道下轨。没有什么大事,不会轻易破这根线的。美国借贷公司大裁员其实是情理之中的事。经济学家的数学要求不高,也难免有人算错。[念奴娇 (9-10 14:11, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]14楼
(引用 speculatist:看到个新闻。 太搞笑了。。。。这帮家伙自己做错了,让Fed来买单。真是撒娇都撒的恶心。 Andy Borowitz Sat Sep 8, 5:50 PM ET Deman...)“No Rate Cut, No Peace”, hehe...Americans...so simple thinking...[念奴娇 (9-10 14:13, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]15楼
(引用 xiaohu:if I was Ben, I won't compromise to those wall street suckerthe short term cut maybe the biggest step for this situation)我觉得降息已成定局,当然不会太多Bernanke也没有办法啊,会跟小布好好商量商量。
研究了一下美国房市,大多比去年高峰时跌了30以上,回到了2002,03年的水平。
破产的房主把债降价给银行,可怜的银行也卖不出去,只能再降价,同时疯狂的逼迫小伯。
[卷心菜 (9-10 14:29, Long long ago)]
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(引用 司马长风:伯南克不降息,政治前途会受到影响,金融市场的波动会让他压力很大,尽管长期来说不该降。)I agree on ur point. from ethics, most ppl think ben should punish the suckers,but from politics, can he do it? especially after bush talked about the bailout?[banban (9-10 14:54, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]17楼
(引用 司马长风:伯南克不降息,政治前途会受到影响,金融市场的波动会让他压力很大,尽管长期来说不该降。)这些人当不当官,不太重要,钱已经哗哗的,如果当官,也是代表某个利益集团,在大选之前,美国政府会竭力维持市场稳定,
大选之后,一泻千里,为任期后两年的大涨做好基础。
假语村言,不要当真[halley (9-10 15:11, Long long ago)]
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(引用 念奴娇:已经走回轨道的牛自然不会轻易回头。接下来几周海指可能会在3440~3520之间晃动。今早我猜测海指会收在3440左右,因为技术上这是轨道下轨�...)语言反映心态,心态决定成败小心的提醒一句,诸如“我希望”“我猜测”这类字眼,在股市里只会坏事
尽量避免他们为好,言为心声,有时言又反过来影响心态:)[巴伐利雅 (9-10 15:50, Long long ago)]
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(引用 xiaohu:if I was Ben, I won't compromise to those wall street suckerthe short term cut maybe the biggest step for this situation)您的TW反大势中..就快突破前期小高104了.[欢乐股市 (9-10 15:53, Long long ago)] [ 传统版 | sForum ][登录后回复]20楼