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DJ MARKET TALK: Heineken's APB Bid Unlikely To Succeed -CIMB

0322 GMT [Dow Jones] STOCK CALL: Fraser & Neave's (F99.SG) new and incumbent shareholders are unlikely to relinquish Asia Pacific Breweries (A46.SG), with a high chance Heineken's (HEIA.AE) S$50/share APB bid won't succeed, CIMB says. "F&N itself should be unwilling to give up its F&B exposure while major shareholder Kirin (2503.TO) is likely to veto any sale to Heineken." New substantial F&N shareholder Thai Beverage (Y92.SG) would lose out from lower F&N valuations after a deal, it notes. Based on ThaiBev's F&N-stake offer price, it estimates ThaiBev is willing to pay S$60-S$65/share for APB. "Another possible reason for Heineken's move was to force ThaiBev to come up with a better offer for APB. Heineken will pre-empt having to work with a new partner (to run APB) if their general offer is not accepted and ThaiBev fails to come up with a better offer." But it adds, the bid is positive overall for F&N shareholders as the stock is likely to climb. At S$50/APB share, it estimates F&N's sum-of-the-parts valuation at about S$10/share. (leslie.shaffer@dowjones.com)

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DJ Kirin Considering Bid for Fraser & Neave's Soft Drink, Dairy Assets - Source

SINGAPORE--Japanese beverage group Kirin Holdings Co. Ltd. (2503.TO) is considering a bid for the soft drinks and dairy assets of Singapore conglomerate Fraser & Neave Ltd. (F99.SG), a person familiar with the situation said Thursday.

The Japanese group is considering a bid for the conglomerate's Malaysian unit, Fraser & Neave Holdings Bhd. (3689.KU) and brands such as isotonic drink 100 Plus, Seasons and Fruit Tree, the person said.

Kirin already owns a 15% stake in Fraser & Neave, which it acquired from Singapore state investment firm Temasek Holdings in 2010.

The planned move follows Heineken NV's (HINKY) 5.1 billion Singapore dollar (US$4.1 billion) offer last week to buy out Fraser & Neave's stake in Asia Pacific Breweries Ltd. (A46.SG), a joint venture between the Dutch brewer and Singapore company that produces Tiger beer.

"Kirin wants to ride on the current momentum," the person said, adding a potential bid for Asia Pacific Breweries could be complicated.

The person also said the market capitalization for the soft drinks business is around US$2 billion and that funding the acquisition could be easily achieved.

A Fraser & Neave spokeswoman declined to comment. A Kirin spokesman declined to comment.

Kirin has been weighing various options after Heineken's bid last week to take control of Asia Pacific Breweries. People familiar with the matter told Dow Jones Newswires Monday Kirin, one of Japan's biggest brewers, is in early discussions with bankers about a potential bid for Asia Pacific Breweries.

Asia Pacific Breweries has a strong presence in countries such as Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia and Vietnam; Kirin is looking to expand beyond its domestic market, where the company's sales are slipping.

Still Kirin -- the second-largest Japanese brewer by domestic market share, after Asahi Group Holdings Ltd. -- already has spent more than 1 trillion yen (US$12.74 billion) on overseas acquisitions since 2007.

Apart from buying a stake in San Miguel, Kirin last year bought Schincariol, a Brazilian brewer, for $3.9 billion.

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Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited and Great Eastern Holdings Limited wish to announce that they have been approached with an offer to purchase, inter alia, their combined stakes in Fraser and Neave, Limited, aggregating approximately 18.20% of Fraser and Neave, Limited's total issued shares as at 31 March 2012, and Asia Pacific Breweries Limited, aggregating approximately 7.92% of Asia Pacific Breweries Limited's total issued shares as at 31 March 2012, and they are having discussions on this...

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F&N: Heineken Extend Offer For One Week.

Heineken N.V. announces that it has been contacted by Fraser & Neave, Limited in relation to the offer by HNV on 20 July 2012 for F&N's direct and indirect interests in Asia Pacific Breweries Limited at a price of S$50.00 per APB share, for a total consideration of S$5.1 billion, and F&N's interest in the non-APB assets held by Asia Pacific Investment Private Limited, a 50/50 joint venture between HNV and F&N, for a consideration of S$163 million. At the request of F&N, HNV has agreed to extend the Offer by one week from 27 July 2012, to allow further time for F&N to consider the Offer...

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F&N APBÍ£ÅÆÁË£¡¾º¹ºÑÇÌ«Äð¾Æ³§Õ½Çé¼Ó¾ç ÐÇʨ¼¯ÍÅÒªÇóϲÁ¦Ìá¸ßÊÕ¹º¼Û
DJ UPDATE: Fraser & Neave, Asia Pacific Breweries on Trading Halt Pending Announcement


-- Fraser & Neave, Asia Pacific Breweries shares halted from trade Thursday, pending announcement

-- Heineken's US$4.1 billion offer for Asia Pacific Breweries expires Friday

-- F&N is seeking more cash for its Asia Pacific Breweries stake, says person familiar with the situation


(Recasts throughout)


By Gaurav Raghuvanshi and Sam Holmes


SINGAPORE--Fraser & Neave Ltd. (F99.SG) and Asia Pacific Breweries Ltd. (A46.SG) shares were placed on trading halts Thursday, a day ahead of a deadline for the Singapore conglomerate to accept Heineken NV's (HINKY, HEIA.AE) 5.1 billion Singapore dollar (US$4.1 billion) offer to buy out Fraser & Neave's stake in Asia Pacific Breweries.

Heineken launched the offer last month to buy out its partner in the 81-year-old joint venture. It offered S$50 per share for all of F&N's 39.7% stake in Asia Pacific Breweries. The offer price represents a 1% premium to APB's closing price on Wednesday.

The current offer expires Friday.

Asia Pacific Breweries is 64.8%-controlled by Asia Pacific Investment Partners, a 50-50 joint venture between F&N and Heineken. F&N separately holds a 7.3% direct stake in Asia Pacific Breweries while Heineken holds a 9.5% direct stake.

A person familiar with the situation earlier this week said F&N is seeking more money for the APB stake but declined to specify how much more it wanted.

Heineken's takeover offer for APB last month came within two days of Thai Beverage Ltd. (Y92.SG), which is controlled by Thai billionaire Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi, announcing that it is buying a 22% stake in F&N from Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. (O39.SG) and partners for S$2.78 billion. Thai Beverage clarified on Wednesday that it isn't seeking a buyout of F&N.

Fraser & Neave wasn't immediately available for additional comment Thursday. APB declined to comment further on the trading halt.

Heineken couldn't immediately be reached for comment.


Write to Gaurav Raghuvanshi at gaurav.raghuvanshi@dowjones.com
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